Bayne claims first Nationwide win at Texas

Autoracing Betting Lines

11/05/2011 - Fort Worth, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ninth months after his surprise victory in the Daytona 500, Trevor Bayne captured his first Nationwide Series race win by taking Saturday's O'Reilly Auto Parts Challenge in dramatic fashion at Texas Motor Speedway.

Bayne passed his Roush Fenway Racing teammate Carl Edwards for the lead just after the final restart with six laps remaining in the 300-mile race. He then held off a hard-charging Denny Hamlin during the last three laps for his first win in his 77th Nationwide start.

Hamlin, substituting for Kyle Busch in Joe Gibbs Racing's No.18 Toyota, had to start from the rear of the field due to a driver change. Earlier in the day, NASCAR suspended Busch from this weekend's Nationwide and Sprint Cup Series races at Texas following his retaliation against Ron Hornaday Jr. in Friday night's Camping World Truck Series event here.

Edwards, who had dominated the race with 157 laps led, wound up finishing third. Clint Bowyer and Brad Keselowski rounded out the top-five.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s sixth-place finish coupled with a ninth-place run for Elliott Sadler allowed Stenhouse to increase his points lead to 17 over Sadler.

Just two races remain -- Phoenix (November 12) and Homestead (Nov. 19).

Wwwbetgameday Autoracing Betting News


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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

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Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

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The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

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Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

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MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

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